《人类简史》作者新作《冠状病毒之后的世界》（中英双语）.note¶

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《人类简史》作者新作《冠状病毒之后的世界》（中英双语）

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The World After Coronavirus

Yuval Noah Harari

来源 : 阮一峰的网络日志、《金融时报》

《人类简史》的作者尤瓦尔 · 赫拉利，上周末在《金融时报》发表了一篇长文《冠状病毒之后的世

界》。

他谈到疫情结束后，世界向何处去的问题，以及对目前各国没有统一行动的计划，反而各自为战、竞

相关闭边境的担忧。这篇文章非常发人深省，强烈推荐。

冠状病毒之后的世界

作者：尤瓦尔 · 赫拉利 (Yuval Noah Harari) , 《人类简史》的作者

原载： 2020 年 3 月 20 日的《金融时报》

Humankind is now facing a global crisis. Perhaps the biggest crisis of our generation. The decisions

people and governments take in the next few weeks will probably shape the world for years to come.

They will shape not just our healthcare systems but also our economy, politics and culture. We must

act quickly and decisively. We should also take into account the long-term consequences of our

actions. When choosing between alternatives, we should ask ourselves not only how to overcome the

immediate threat, but also what kind of world we will inhabit once the storm passes. Yes, the storm

will pass, humankind will survive, most of us will still be alive — but we will inhabit a different world.

人类现在正面临全球危机。也许是我们这一代人最大的危机。各国政府在未来几周内做出的决定，可能会在

未来数年内改变世界。它们不仅将影响我们的医疗保健系统，还将影响我们的经济、政治和文化。我们必须

迅速果断地采取行动，但还应考虑到这些行动的长期后果。在不同方案之间做选择时，我们不仅要问自己，

如何克服眼前的威胁，而且还要问问自己，风暴过后我们将居住在什么样的世界上。是的，风暴将过去，人

类将继续存在，我们大多数人仍将活着，但将生活在另一个世界中。

Many short-term emergency measures will become a fixture of life. That is the nature of

emergencies. They fast-forward historical processes. Decisions that in normal times could take years

of deliberation are passed in a matter of hours. Immature and even dangerous technologies are

pressed into service, because the risks of doing nothing are bigger. Entire countries serve as guinea-

pigs in large-scale social experiments. What happens when everybody works from home and

communicates only at a distance? What happens when entire schools and universities go online? In

normal times, governments, businesses and educational boards would never agree to conduct such

experiments. But these aren't normal times.

许多短期的紧急措施将成为生活的一部分。这就是紧急措施的性质，它们加快了历史进程。通常情况下，可

能需要花费数年时间进行审议的决定，现在几小时内即可通过。不成熟甚至危险的技术投入使用，因为不采

取任何行动的风险更大。整个国家都在大型社会实验中充当豚鼠。每个人都在家工作，并且仅远程交流时会

发生什么？整个学校和大学都上网时会发生什么？通常情况下，政府、企业和学校永远不会同意进行此类实

验。但现在不是正常时期。

In this time of crisis, we face two particularly important choices. The first is between totalitarian

surveillance and citizen empowerment. The second is between nationalist isolation and global

solidarity.

在危机时刻，我们面临两个特别重要的选择。第一个是在极权主义监视与公民赋权之间的选择。第二个问题

是在民族主义孤立与全球团结之间的选择。

Under-the-skin surveillance

In order to stop the epidemic, entire populations need to comply with certain guidelines. There are

two main ways of achieving this. One method is for the government to monitor people, and punish

those who break the rules. Today, for the first time in human history, technology makes it possible to

monitor everyone all the time. Fifty years ago, the KGB couldn’t follow 240m Soviet citizens 24 hours

a day, nor could the KGB hope to effectively process all the information gathered. The KGB relied on

human agents and analysts, and it just couldn’t place a human agent to follow every citizen. But now

governments can rely on ubiquitous sensors and powerful algorithms instead of flesh-and-blood

spooks.

皮下监视

为了遏制这种流行病，所有人都必须遵守某些准则。有两种主要方法可以实现此目的。一种方法是政府监视

人民，并惩罚违反规则的人。如今，人类历史上首次，技术可以一直监控每个人。五十年前，克格勃无法每

天 24 小时追踪 2.4 亿苏联公民，也不可能有效处理收集到的所有信息。克格勃依靠人类特工和分析师，不可能

跟踪每个公民。但是现在，政府可以依靠无处不在的传感器和强大的算法，实现这个目标。

In their battle against the coronavirus epidemic several governments have already deployed the new

surveillance tools. By closely monitoring people’s smartphones, making use of hundreds of millions of

face-recognising cameras, and obliging people to check and report their body temperature and

medical condition. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel recently authorised the Israel

Security Agency to deploy surveillance technology normally reserved for battling terrorists to track

coronavirus patients. When the relevant parliamentary subcommittee refused to authorise the

measure, Netanyahu rammed it through with an “emergency decree”.

在与冠状病毒的斗争中，一些政府已经部署了新的监视工具。通过严密监视人们的智能手机，使用数以百万

计的面部识别摄像头，并迫使人们检查并报告其体温和医疗状况。以色列总理本杰明 · 内塔尼亚胡（ Benjamin

Netanyahu ）最近授权以色列安全局，部署监视技术以追踪冠状病毒患者，该技术通常用于与恐怖分子作

战。当议会拒绝批准该措施时，内塔尼亚胡提出了一项 " 紧急命令 " 。

You might argue that there is nothing new about all this. In recent years both governments and

corporations have been using ever more sophisticated technologies to track, monitor and manipulate

people. Yet if we are not careful, the epidemic might nevertheless mark an important watershed in the

history of surveillance. Not only because it might normalise the deployment of mass surveillance tools

in countries that have so far rejected them, but even more so because it signifies a dramatic

transition from “over the skin” to “under the skin” surveillance.

你可能会争辩说，这些并没有新意。近年来，政府和公司都在使用越来越先进的技术来跟踪、监视和操纵人

员。但是，如果我们不谨慎的话，现在的这种流行病可能将是人类监控史上一个重要的分水岭。不仅因为它

可以使迄今为止拒绝使用大规模监视工具的国家，出现监控正常化，而且更重要的是，它表明监控从 " 皮肤

上 " 急剧转变为 " 皮肤下 " 。

Hitherto, when your finger touched the screen of your smartphone and clicked on a link, the

government wanted to know what exactly your finger was clicking on. But with coronavirus, the focus

of interest shifts. Now the government wants to know the temperature of your finger and the blood-

pressure under its skin.

以前，当你的手指触摸智能手机的屏幕并单击链接时，政府想知道你的手指到底在单击什么。但是对于冠状

病毒，政府关注的重点已经转移，现在政府希望知道你的手指的温度及其皮肤下的血压。

Shutterstock.com

The emergency pudding

One of the problems we face in working out where we stand on surveillance is that none of us know

exactly how we are being surveilled, and what the coming years might bring. Surveillance technology

is developing at breakneck speed, and what seemed science-fiction 10 years ago is today old news.

As a thought experiment, consider a hypothetical government that demands that every citizen wears

a biometric bracelet that monitors body temperature and heart-rate 24 hours a day. The resulting data

is hoarded and analysed by government algorithms. The algorithms will know that you are sick even

before you know it, and they will also know where you have been, and who you have met. The chains

of infection could be drastically shortened, and even cut altogether. Such a system could arguably

stop the epidemic in its tracks within days. Sounds wonderful, right?

紧急布丁

监控技术正以惊人的速度发展，十年前的科幻小说如今已成为日常新闻。作为一项思想实验，请考虑一个假

设的政府，该政府要求每个公民每天都要佩戴生物特征识别手环，以监测 24 小时的体温和心率。所得数据通

过政府算法进行存储和分析。这些算法甚至会在症状出现之前就知道你生病了，并且他们还将知道你去过哪

里以及遇到了谁。感染链可以大大缩短，甚至完全切断。可以说，这样的系统可以在几天之内停止流行病的

蔓延。听起来很棒，对吧？

The downside is, of course, that this would give legitimacy to a terrifying new surveillance system. If

you know, for example, that I clicked on a Fox News link rather than a CNN link, that can teach you

something about my political views and perhaps even my personality. But if you can monitor what

happens to my body temperature, blood pressure and heart-rate as I watch the video clip, you can

learn what makes me laugh, what makes me cry, and what makes me really, really angry.

缺点当然是，这种恐怖的新监视系统一旦具有合法性的后果。例如，如果你知道我单击的是 Fox News 的链

接而不是 CNN 的链接，则可以提示你一些有关我的政治观点甚至个性的信息。但是，如果你可以在我观看视

频时监视我的体温、血压和心率变化，则可以了解使我发笑、使我哭泣以及使我真正非常生气的原因。

It is crucial to remember that anger, joy, boredom and love are biological phenomena just like fever

and a cough. The same technology that identifies coughs could also identify laughs. If corporations

and governments start harvesting our biometric data en masse, they can get to know us far better

than we know ourselves, and they can then not just predict our feelings but also manipulate our

feelings and sell us anything they want — be it a product or a politician. Biometric monitoring would

make Cambridge Analytica’s data hacking tactics look like something from the Stone Age. Imagine

North Korea in 2030, when every citizen has to wear a biometric bracelet 24 hours a day. If you listen

to a speech by the Great Leader and the bracelet picks up the tell-tale signs of anger, you are done

for.

重要的是要记住，愤怒、喜悦、无聊和爱是生物现象，就像发烧和咳嗽一样。识别咳嗽的相同技术也可以识

别发笑。如果公司和政府开始大量收集我们的生物识别数据，他们将比我们自己更了解我们，那么他们不仅

可以预测我们的感受，还可以操纵我们的感受，并向我们出售他们想要的任何东西，从产品到政治观点。生

物识别监控将使 Cambridge Analytica 公司的数据黑客策略看起来像石器时代。想象一下 2030 年的朝鲜，那

时每个公民都必须每天 24 小时佩戴生物识别手环。如果您听取了伟大领袖的演讲，而手环发现你有愤怒的迹

象，那么你就完蛋了。

You could, of course, make the case for biometric surveillance as a temporary measure taken during

a state of emergency. It would go away once the emergency is over. But temporary measures have a

nasty habit of outlasting emergencies, especially as there is always a new emergency lurking on the

horizon. My home country of Israel, for example, declared a state of emergency during its 1948 War

of Independence, which justified a range of temporary measures from press censorship and land

confiscation to special regulations for making pudding (I kid you not). The War of Independence has

long been won, but Israel never declared the emergency over, and has failed to abolish many of the

“temporary” measures of 1948 (the emergency pudding decree was mercifully abolished in 2011).

当然，政府可以将生物特征识别，作为紧急情况下采取的临时措施。一旦紧急情况结束，这些措施就会取

消。但是，临时措施有持久保持下去的巨大惯性，尤其考虑到新的紧急状态可能会再次出现。例如，我的祖

国以色列在 1948 年的独立战争期间宣布进入紧急状态，通过了一系列临时措施，包括从新闻审查、没收土地

到制作布丁的特殊规定（我没骗你）。独立战争早就赢得了胜利，但以色列从未宣布过结束紧急状态，并且

也没有废除了 1948 年的许多 " 临时 " 措施（紧急布丁法令倒是于 2011 年被废除）。

Even when infections from coronavirus are down to zero, some data-hungry governments could

argue they needed to keep the biometric surveillance systems in place because they fear a second

wave of coronavirus, or because there is a new Ebola strain evolving in central Africa, or because . . .

you get the idea. A big battle has been raging in recent years over our privacy. The coronavirus crisis

could be the battle’s tipping point. For when people are given a choice between privacy and health,

they will usually choose health.

即使在冠状病毒的感染者降至零的情况下，一些渴望获取公民数据的政府也可能会说，由于害怕第二次冠状

病毒流行，或者因为中部非洲正在出现新的埃博拉病毒，他们需要保持生物特征监测系统继续运行。因为 ......

你懂的。近年来，在我们的隐私问题上，一场激烈的战斗一直在进行。冠状病毒危机可能是这场战斗的转折

点。因为当人们在隐私和健康之间做出选择时，他们通常会选择健康。

IFP Editorial Staff

The soap police

Asking people to choose between privacy and health is, in fact, the very root of the problem. Because

this is a false choice. We can and should enjoy both privacy and health. We can choose to protect

our health and stop the coronavirus epidemic not by instituting totalitarian surveillance regimes, but

rather by empowering citizens. In recent weeks, some of the most successful efforts to contain the

coronavirus epidemic were orchestrated by South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore. While these regions

have made some use of tracking applications, they have relied far more on extensive testing, on

honest reporting, and on the willing co-operation of a well-informed public.

肥皂警察

实际上，要求人们在隐私和健康之间进行选择是问题的根本所在。因为这是一个错误的选择。我们可以并且

应该同时享受隐私和健康。我们可以选择保护我们的健康的同时，阻止冠状病毒流行，而不是通过建立极权

主义的监视制度，我们也可以选择增强公民的权力。最近几周，亚洲一些地区精心实施了一些最成功的遏制

冠状病毒流行的措施，它们虽然使用了跟踪应用程序，但更多地依赖于广泛的测试、诚实的报告以及有见识

的公众的自愿合作。

Centralised monitoring and harsh punishments aren’t the only way to make people comply with

beneficial guidelines. When people are told the scientific facts, and when people trust public

authorities to tell them these facts, citizens can do the right thing even without a Big Brother watching

over their shoulders. A self-motivated and well-informed population is usually far more powerful and

effective than a policed, ignorant population.

集中监控和严厉惩罚并不是使人们遵守有益规则的唯一方法。当人们被告知科学事实，并且人们信任公共当

局告诉他们这些事实时，即使没有 " 老大哥 " 看着他们的肩膀，公民也可以做正确的事情。一个有上进心和知

识渊博的人群通常比受过训练的无知人群要强大得多。

Consider, for example, washing your hands with soap. This has been one of the greatest advances

ever in human hygiene. This simple action saves millions of lives every year. While we take it for

granted, it was only in the 19th century that scientists discovered the importance of washing hands

with soap. Previously, even doctors and nurses proceeded from one surgical operation to the next

without washing their hands. Today billions of people daily wash their hands, not because they are

afraid of the soap police, but rather because they understand the facts. I wash my hands with soap

because I have heard of viruses and bacteria, I understand that these tiny organisms cause

diseases, and I know that soap can remove them.

肥皂洗手就是一个例子，这是人类卫生学上最伟大的进步之一。这个简单的动作每年可以挽救数百万的生

命。虽然我们认为这是理所当然的，但直到 19 世纪，科学家才发现用肥皂洗手的重要性。以前，即使是医生

和护士，也无需洗手就从一台外科手术转到另一台外科手术。今天，数十亿人每天洗手，不是因为他们害怕

警察正在监控，而是因为他们了解事实。我用肥皂洗手是因为我听说过病毒和细菌，我知道这些微小的生物

会引起疾病，并且我知道肥皂可以清除它们。

https://www.easternshoredoctors.com.au/news/coronavirus-what-should-you-do

But to achieve such a level of compliance and co-operation, you need trust. People need to trust

science, to trust public authorities, and to trust the media. Over the past few years, irresponsible

politicians have deliberately undermined trust in science, in public authorities and in the media. Now

these same irresponsible politicians might be tempted to take the high road to authoritarianism,

arguing that you just cannot trust the public to do the right thing.

但是要达到这种合规与合作水平，你需要信任。人们需要信任科学、信任公共权威以及信任媒体。在过去的

几年中，不负责任的政治家故意破坏了对科学、公共当局和媒体的信任。现在，这些同样不负责任的政治家

可能会倾向于走专制主义的道路，争辩说我们不能信任公众会做正确的事。通常，已经侵蚀了多年的信任不

能在一夜之间重建。

Normally, trust that has been eroded for years cannot be rebuilt overnight. But these are not normal

times. In a moment of crisis, minds too can change quickly. You can have bitter arguments with your

siblings for years, but when some emergency occurs, you suddenly discover a hidden reservoir of

trust and amity, and you rush to help one another. Instead of building a surveillance regime, it is not

too late to rebuild people’s trust in science, in public authorities and in the media. We should

definitely make use of new technologies too, but these technologies should empower citizens. I am

all in favour of monitoring my body temperature and blood pressure, but that data should not be used

to create an all-powerful government. Rather, that data should enable me to make more informed

personal choices, and also to hold government accountable for its decisions.

但现在不是正常时期，在危机时刻，思想也会迅速变化。多年以来，你的兄弟姐妹之间可能会发生激烈的争

吵，但是当发生紧急情况时，你突然发现了隐藏的信任和友善，并急于互相帮助。要建立人们对科学、公共

当局和媒体的信任，而不是建立一个监督制度，现在并不为时已晚。我们当然也应该利用新技术，但是这些

技术应该赋予公民权力。我完全赞成监控自己的体温和血压，但不应该使用这些数据来创建一个功能强大的

政府。相反，这些数据应该使我能够做出更明智的个人选择。

If I could track my own medical condition 24 hours a day, I would learn not only whether I have

become a health hazard to other people, but also which habits contribute to my health. And if I could

access and analyse reliable statistics on the spread of coronavirus, I would be able to judge whether

the government is telling me the truth and whether it is adopting the right policies to combat the

epidemic. Whenever people talk about surveillance, remember that the same surveillance technology

can usually be used not only by governments to monitor individuals — but also by individuals to

monitor governments.

如果我可以一天 24 小时追踪自己的病情，我不仅会了解自己是否对他人构成健康危害，而且还会了解哪些习

惯对我的健康有所帮助。而且，如果我能够访问和分析有关冠状病毒传播的可靠统计数据，我将能够判断政

府是否在告诉我真相，以及它是否在采取正确的政策来对抗流行病。每当人们谈论监视时，请记住，相同的

监视技术通常不仅可以由政府用于监视个人，而且可以由个人用于监视政府。

The coronavirus epidemic is thus a major test of citizenship. In the days ahead, each one of us

should choose to trust scientific data and healthcare experts over unfounded conspiracy theories and

self-serving politicians. If we fail to make the right choice, we might find ourselves signing away our

most precious freedoms, thinking that this is the only way to safeguard our health.

因此，冠状病毒的流行是对公民身份的主要考验。在未来的日子里，我们每个人都应该选择信任科学数据和

医疗保健专家，而不是相信毫无根据的阴谋论和自私自利的政治家。如果我们未能做出正确的选择，我们可

能会发现自己放弃了我们最宝贵的自由，相信只有听任政府监控才是维护我们健康的唯一途径。

Illustration: Andrzej Krauze/The Guardian

We need a global plan

The second important choice we confront is between nationalist isolation and global solidarity. Both

the epidemic itself and the resulting economic crisis are global problems. They can be solved

effectively only by global co-operation.

我们需要一项全球计划

我们面临的第二个重要选择是在民族主义孤立与全球团结之间做选择。流行病本身和由此产生的经济

危机都是全球性问题，只有全球合作才能有效解决这些问题。

First and foremost, in order to defeat the virus we need to share information globally. That’s the big

advantage of humans over viruses. A coronavirus in China and a coronavirus in the US cannot swap

tips about how to infect humans. But China can teach the US many valuable lessons about

coronavirus and how to deal with it. What an Italian doctor discovers in Milan in the early morning

might well save lives in Tehran by evening. When the UK government hesitates between several

policies, it can get advice from the Koreans who have already faced a similar dilemma a month ago.

But for this to happen, we need a spirit of global co-operation and trust.

首先，为了战胜病毒，我们需要在全球范围内共享信息。这是人类相对于病毒的最大优势。中国可以向美国

传授许多有关冠状病毒及其应对方法的宝贵经验，一位意大利医生清晨在米兰发现的东西很可能晚上在德黑

兰挽救生命。当英国政府对几项政策犹豫不决时，它可以从一个月前已经面临类似困境的韩国人那里获得建

议。但是，要做到这一点，我们需要一种全球合作与信任的精神。

Countries should be willing to share information openly and humbly seek advice, and should be able

to trust the data and the insights they receive. We also need a global effort to produce and distribute

medical equipment, most notably testing kits and respiratory machines. Instead of every country

trying to do it locally and hoarding whatever equipment it can get, a co-ordinated global effort could

greatly accelerate production and make sure life-saving equipment is distributed more fairly. Just as

countries nationalise key industries during a war, the human war against coronavirus may require us

to “humanise” the crucial production lines. A rich country with few coronavirus cases should be willing

to send precious equipment to a poorer country with many cases, trusting that if and when it

subsequently needs help, other countries will come to its assistance.

各国应该愿意公开地分享信息，谦虚地寻求建议，并且应该信任所收到的数据和见解。我们还需要全球范围

内的努力来生产和分销医疗设备，尤其是测试套件和呼吸机。与其每个国家都尝试在本地进行生产并囤积任

何设备，不如在全球范围内协调一致地努力，就可以大大加快生产速度，并确保可以更公平地分配救生设

备。正如各国在战争中将关键产业国有化一样，人类与冠状病毒的战争可能会要求我们将关键的生产线 " 世界

化 " 。较少冠状病毒病例的富裕国家，应该愿意向较多病例的较贫穷国家提供宝贵的设备，并相信如果以后需

要帮助，别的国家也会同样帮助自己。

We might consider a similar global effort to pool medical personnel. Countries currently less affected

could send medical staff to the worst-hit regions of the world, both in order to help them in their hour

of need, and in order to gain valuable experience. If later on the focus of the epidemic shifts, help

could start flowing in the opposite direction.

我们可能会考虑采取类似的全球努力来召集医务人员。当前受影响较小的国家可以派遣医务人员到世界上受

灾最严重的地区，以帮助他们，并获得宝贵的经验。如果未来流行病的发病重点转移了，帮助就会开始朝相

反的方向流动。

Global co-operation is vitally needed on the economic front too. Given the global nature of the

economy and of supply chains, if each government does its own thing in complete disregard of the

others, the result will be chaos and a deepening crisis. We need a global plan of action, and we need

it fast.

经济方面也非常需要全球合作。考虑到经济和供应链的全球性，如果每个政府在完全不顾其他政府的情况下

做自己的事情，结果将是混乱和危机加深。我们需要一项全球行动计划，而且要快速行动。

Another requirement is reaching a global agreement on travel. Suspending all international travel for

months will cause tremendous hardships, and hamper the war against coronavirus. Countries need

to co-operate in order to allow at least a trickle of essential travellers to continue crossing borders:

scientists, doctors, journalists, politicians, businesspeople. This can be done by reaching a global

agreement on the pre-screening of travellers by their home country. If you know that only carefully

screened travellers were allowed on a plane, you would be more willing to accept them into your

country.

另一个要求是达成全球旅行协议。所有国际旅行暂停数月之久，将造成巨大的困难，并阻碍与冠状病毒的战

争。各国需要进行合作，以便至少允许一小撮重要的旅客继续过境：科学家，医生，记者，政治人物，商

人。这可以通过对旅行者在本国进行的预检查达成全球协议来实现。如果你知道只有经过严格检查的旅客才

可以乘坐飞机，那么你会更愿意接受他们进入你的国家。

Unfortunately, at present countries hardly do any of these things. A collective paralysis has gripped

the international community. There seem to be no adults in the room. One would have expected to

see already weeks ago an emergency meeting of global leaders to come up with a common plan of

action. The G7 leaders managed to organise a videoconference only this week, and it did not result in

any such plan.

不幸的是，目前各国几乎没有做任何这些事情。国际社会陷入了集体瘫痪。房间里似乎没有大人。人们原本

希望在几周前看到全球领导人紧急会议，以制定一项共同的行动计划。七国集团领导人仅在本周组织了一次

电视会议，但并未制定任何此类计划。

In previous global crises — such as the 2008 financial crisis and the 2014 Ebola epidemic — the

US assumed the role of global leader. But the current US administration has abdicated the job of

leader. It has made it very clear that it cares about the greatness of America far more than about the

future of humanity.

在先前的全球危机（例如 2008 年金融危机和 2014 年埃博拉疫情）中，美国担当了全球领导者的角色。但是现

任美国政府已经放弃了领导人的职务。它已经非常清楚地表明，它更关心美国的伟大而不是关心人类的未

来。这个政府甚至放弃了它最亲密的盟友。

This administration has abandoned even its closest allies. When it banned all travel from the EU, it

didn’t bother to give the EU so much as an advance notice — let alone consult with the EU about that

drastic measure. It has scandalised Germany by allegedly offering $1bn to a German pharmaceutical

company to buy monopoly rights to a new Covid-19 vaccine. Even if the current administration

eventually changes tack and comes up with a global plan of action, few would follow a leader who

never takes responsibility, who never admits mistakes, and who routinely takes all the credit for

himself while leaving all the blame to others.

当它禁止所有来自欧盟的旅行时，它都没想到要事先通知欧盟，更不用说与欧盟商讨这一严厉措施了。据

称，美国曾向一家德国制药公司出价 10 亿美元，购买了新的 Covid-19 疫苗的垄断权，这使德国感到震惊。

即使美国现任政府最终改变了立场，并提出了一项全球行动计划，也很少有人会追随一个从不承担责任，从

不承认错误，并将所有责任归咎于他人，荣誉归咎于自己的领导人。

If the void left by the US isn’t filled by other countries, not only will it be much harder to stop the

current epidemic, but its legacy will continue to poison international relations for years to come. Yet

every crisis is also an opportunity. We must hope that the current epidemic will help humankind

realise the acute danger posed by global disunity.

如果美国留下的空白没有其他国家填补，那么阻止当前的流行不仅更加困难，而且这种空白将在未来几年继

续毒害国际关系。然而，每次危机也是一个机会。我们必须希望，当前的流行病将帮助人类认识到全球不团

结带来的严重危险。

Humanity needs to make a choice. Will we travel down the route of disunity, or will we adopt the path

of global solidarity? If we choose disunity, this will not only prolong the crisis, but will probably result

in even worse catastrophes in the future. If we choose global solidarity, it will be a victory not only

against the coronavirus, but against all future epidemics and crises that might assail humankind in

the 21st century.

人类需要做出选择。我们是走全球团结的道路，还是继续各据一方？如果我们选择不团结，这不仅会延长危

机，而且将来可能会导致更严重的灾难。如果我们选择全球团结，这将不仅是对抗冠状病毒的胜利，也是抗

击可能在 21 世纪袭击人类的所有未来流行病和危机的胜利。